10 年期与 2 年期美债收益率差。倒挂被视为衰退经典前兆；陡峭化往往出现在衰退前后。
10Y - 2Y 收益率差，单位 bp。负值（倒挂）历来是衰退最经典的前瞻信号，平均提前 12-18 月。
| — |
| +5% |
| 2026-09-23 | 26 | — | +1% |
| 2026-09-22 | 25 | — | +5% |
| 2026-09-21 | 20 | — | -5% |
| 2026-09-18 | 25 | — | -2% |
| 2026-09-17 | 27 | — | 0% |
| 2026-09-16 | 27 | — | -6% |
| 2026-09-15 | 33 | — | +1% |
| 2026-09-14 | 32 | — | -1% |
| 2026-09-11 | 33 | — | -6% |
| 2026-09-10 | 39 | — | -1% |
| 2026-09-09 | 40 | — | -1% |
| 2026-09-08 | 41 | — | 0% |
| 2026-09-04 | 41 | — | -2% |
| 2026-09-03 | 43 | — | +3% |
| 2026-09-02 | 40 | — | 0% |
| 2026-09-01 | 40 | — | -1% |
| 2026-08-31 | 41 | — | +2% |
| 2026-08-28 | 39 | — | -8% |
| 2026-08-27 | 47 | — | 0% |
| 2026-08-26 | 47 | — | 0% |
| 2026-08-25 | 47 | — | +1% |
| 2026-08-24 | 46 | — | -4% |
| 2026-08-21 | 50 | — | 0% |
| 2026-08-20 | 50 | — | +4% |
| 2026-08-19 | 46 | — | -6% |
| 2026-08-18 | 52 | — | -1% |
| 2026-08-17 | 53 | — | +2% |
| 2026-08-14 | 51 | — | +3% |
| 2026-08-13 | 48 | — | 0% |
| 2026-08-12 | 48 | — | 0% |
| 2026-08-11 | 48 | — | +1% |
| 2026-08-10 | 47 | — | +1% |
| 2026-08-07 | 46 | — | +2% |
| 2026-08-06 | 44 | — | -1% |
| 2026-08-05 | 45 | — | +2% |
| 2026-08-04 | 43 | — | -2% |
| 2026-08-03 | 45 | — | -2% |
| 2026-07-31 | 47 | — | +2% |
| 2026-07-30 | 45 | — | 0% |
| 2026-07-29 | 45 | — | +10% |
| 2026-07-28 | 35 | — | +1% |
| 2026-07-27 | 34 | — | -2% |
| 2026-07-24 | 36 | — | +2% |
| 2026-07-23 | 34 | — | -2% |
| 2026-07-22 | 36 | — | -1% |
| 2026-07-21 | 37 | — | -2% |
| 2026-07-20 | 39 | — | +2% |
| 2026-07-17 | 37 | — | -4% |
| 2026-07-16 | 41 | — | -1% |
| 2026-07-15 | 42 | — | +2% |
| 2026-07-14 | 40 | — | +4% |
| 2026-07-13 | 36 | — | +1% |
| 2026-07-10 | 35 | — | — |
日度更新；按周快照纳入概览