10 年期与 2 年期美债收益率差。倒挂被视为衰退经典前兆；陡峭化往往出现在衰退前后。
10Y - 2Y 收益率差，单位 bp。负值（倒挂）历来是衰退最经典的前瞻信号，平均提前 12-18 月。
日度更新；按周快照纳入概览
| — |
| 0% |
| 2026-05-06 | 49 | — | -1% |
| 2026-05-05 | 50 | — | 0% |
| 2026-05-04 | 50 | — | -1% |
| 2026-05-01 | 51 | — | -1% |
| 2026-04-30 | 52 | — | +2% |
| 2026-04-29 | 50 | — | -2% |
| 2026-04-28 | 52 | — | -5% |
| 2026-04-27 | 57 | — | +4% |
| 2026-04-24 | 53 | — | +2% |
| 2026-04-23 | 51 | — | 0% |
| 2026-04-22 | 51 | — | -1% |
| 2026-04-21 | 52 | — | -2% |
| 2026-04-20 | 54 | — | -1% |
| 2026-04-17 | 55 | — | +1% |
| 2026-04-16 | 54 | — | +1% |
| 2026-04-15 | 53 | — | +3% |
| 2026-04-14 | 50 | — | -2% |
| 2026-04-13 | 52 | — | +2% |
| 2026-04-10 | 50 | — | -1% |
| 2026-04-09 | 51 | — | +1% |
| 2026-04-08 | 50 | — | -2% |
| 2026-04-07 | 52 | — | +2% |
| 2026-04-06 | 50 | — | -1% |
| 2026-04-03 | 51 | — | -1% |
| 2026-04-02 | 52 | — | 0% |
| 2026-04-01 | 52 | — | +1% |
| 2026-03-31 | 51 | — | -2% |
| 2026-03-30 | 53 | — | -3% |
| 2026-03-27 | 56 | — | +10% |
| 2026-03-26 | 46 | — | -3% |
| 2026-03-25 | 49 | — | 0% |
| 2026-03-24 | 49 | — | -2% |
| 2026-03-23 | 51 | — | 0% |
| 2026-03-20 | 51 | — | +5% |
| 2026-03-19 | 46 | — | -4% |
| 2026-03-18 | 50 | — | -2% |
| 2026-03-17 | 52 | — | -3% |
| 2026-03-16 | 55 | — | 0% |
| 2026-03-13 | 55 | — | +4% |
| 2026-03-12 | 51 | — | -6% |
| 2026-03-11 | 57 | — | -1% |
| 2026-03-10 | 58 | — | +2% |
| 2026-03-09 | 56 | — | -3% |
| 2026-03-06 | 59 | — | +3% |
| 2026-03-05 | 56 | — | +1% |
| 2026-03-04 | 55 | — | 0% |
| 2026-03-03 | 55 | — | -3% |
| 2026-03-02 | 58 | — | -1% |
| 2026-02-27 | 59 | — | -1% |
| 2026-02-26 | 60 | — | 0% |
| 2026-02-25 | 60 | — | -1% |
| 2026-02-24 | 61 | — | +1% |
| 2026-02-23 | 60 | — | — |